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Donald Trump > News > James Carville Explains His Flawed Prediction About The Presidential Election
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James Carville Explains His Flawed Prediction About The Presidential Election

By Miles Cooper March 19, 2025 News
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Longtime Democratic strategist James Carville is as soon as once more admitting he used to be fallacious about Vice President Kamala Harris defeating President Donald Trump in remaining yr’s election, however may be now sharing why he used to be so satisfied of a Democratic victory within the first position.

“Trump was going around with Scott Baio or something … And I thought a combination of all of that would be worth a point and a half,” he endured. “It was not.”

Carville helped former President Invoice Clinton win the 1992 election and turned into a revered strategist for many years to come back, but additionally steered former secretaries of state John Kerry and Hillary Clinton, who respectively misplaced the election or nomination in 2004 and 2008.

The 80-year-old strategist argued in September that the race between Trump and Harris didn’t “feel” like one she would lose, and completely dedicated the following month to his prediction with a New York Occasions op-ed titled, “Three Reasons I’m Certain Kamala Harris Will Win.”

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Carville described a type of causes as “just a feeling,” however used to be additionally fallacious about his different two arguments — that Trump “is a repeat electoral loser” and that the Harris marketing campaign had merely accumulated an excessive amount of cash to not win the election.

“You relearn the oldest lesson in politics,” Carville mentioned Wednesday. “The greatest motivator of turnout, of voting, of persuasion is a reason. If you don’t have a reason, you can’t [win]. People had a reason to vote for Trump … people wanted some change.”

Jame Carville wrote in a New York Times op-ed in October he was "certain" that Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump.Jame Carville wrote in a New York Occasions op-ed in October he used to be “certain” that Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump.

Left: Raul E. Diego/Anadolu Company/Getty Pictures; Proper: Shawn Thew-Pool/Getty Pictures

Carville pointed to Harris’ look on “The View” in October, when the Democratic nominee used to be requested if she would’ve “done something differently” during the last 4 years than then-President Joe Biden — and Harris mentioned, “There is not a thing that comes to mind.”

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“She completely flubs it,” Carville recalled Wednesday. “Well, 70% of people, we’ll have time to argue whether they were right or wrong, 70% of people want something different. Well, give it to them! … [Say] anything you want other than ‘I can’t think of anything.’”

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“Worst answer ever given,” he endured. “Ever given.”

Carville not too long ago described Harris as a “seventh string quarterback” who shouldn’t have changed Biden because the Democratic nominee. Whilst he as soon as once more admitted Wednesday that his prediction used to be a “mistake,” Carville didn’t ask for Harris to stick house in 2028.

“I don’t propose that somebody should or shouldn’t run for office,” he instructed the hole. “If she runs for president again, she’s got to be a lot better candidate than she was in 2024. Maybe she is.”

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